Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Artsul Futebol Clube vs Nova Cidade
Team pages: Artsul Futebol Clube · Nova Cidade
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Artsul Futebol Clube1.41
Nova Cidade0.86
1X2
Artsul Futebol Clube
Draw
Nova Cidade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Artsul Futebol Clube
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Nova Cidade
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Artsul Futebol Clube
0–3–1
Nova Cidade
(4 last)
- Nova Cidade0-0Artsul Futebol Clube
- Artsul Futebol Clube1-1Nova Cidade
- Nova Cidade1-0Artsul Futebol Clube
- Artsul Futebol Clube0-0Nova Cidade
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Artsul Futebol Clube 1498 · Nova Cidade 1484
| Artsul Futebol Clube | Draw | Nova Cidade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 14.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Artsul Futebol Clube | Nova Cidade | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.1 / 9.1 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.9 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Artsul Futebol Clube 0–3–1 Nova Cidade
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Nova Cidade | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Artsul Futebol Clube |
| 21/09/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Artsul Futebol Clube | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nova Cidade |
| 18/11/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Nova Cidade | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Artsul Futebol Clube |
| 01/06/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Artsul Futebol Clube | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nova Cidade |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Serrano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Goytacaz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Petropolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Campo Grande AC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Macae Esporte FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 | Carapebus/Campos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Artsul Futebol Clube | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Campo Grande AC | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Audax Rio | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sao Cristovao RJ | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Artsul Futebol Clube
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 15 | W |
| 08/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/11 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 9 | W |
Nova Cidade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 05/09 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 08/11 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/11 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/11 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Nova Cidade?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Artsul Futebol Clube win (49%). Probabilities: Artsul Futebol Clube 49%, draw 28%, Nova Cidade 22%.
How many goals are expected in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Nova Cidade?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Artsul Futebol Clube 1.41 · Nova Cidade 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Nova Cidade?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.