Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sarmiento vs Huracan
Team pages: Sarmiento · Huracan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Sarmiento0.91
Huracan1.02
1X2
Sarmiento
Draw
Huracan
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sarmiento
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Huracan
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sarmiento
0–2–4
Huracan
(6 last)
- Huracan1-0Sarmiento
- Huracan3-1Sarmiento
- Sarmiento0-0Huracan
- Huracan4-1Sarmiento
- Sarmiento0-0Huracan
- Huracan3-0Sarmiento
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarmiento 1470 · Huracan 1507
| Sarmiento | Draw | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 34% | 36% |
| Market | 30% | 34% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Huracan: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarmiento | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarmiento 0–2–4 Huracan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sarmiento |
| 05/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sarmiento |
| 21/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan |
| 13/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Sarmiento |
| 13/09/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan |
| 13/04/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Huracan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sarmiento |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | CA Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarmiento | Huracan |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tucumán | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Banfield | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Boca Juniors | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Tigre | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarmiento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 17/07 | Boca Juniors Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/04 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/04 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/04 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Huracan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Barracas Central Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarmiento vs Huracan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Huracan win (36%). Probabilities: Sarmiento 30%, draw 34%, Huracan 36%.
How many goals are expected in Sarmiento vs Huracan?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Sarmiento 0.91 · Huracan 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarmiento vs Huracan?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.