Football · Panama Liga Prom · 30/07, 01:00

Prediction: San Martin FC vs Chorrillo

Team pages: Chorrillo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
San Martin FC1.85
Chorrillo1.21
1X2
52% 24% 24%
San Martin FC Draw Chorrillo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWWDDLLL
Chorrillo 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLLLLD
Head-to-head
San Martin FC 2–2–2 Chorrillo (6 last)
  • San Martin FC3-0Chorrillo
  • Chorrillo1-0San Martin FC
  • Chorrillo3-3San Martin FC
  • San Martin FC0-1Chorrillo
  • San Martin FC2-2Chorrillo
  • Chorrillo0-3San Martin FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin FC 1445 · Chorrillo 1424
San Martin FCDrawChorrillo
Our model51%25%24%
Market52%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Martin FCChorrillo
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.1 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.2 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.21.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.45.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin FC 222 Chorrillo

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/04/26
Panama Liga Prom
San Martin FC3-0
HT 1-0
Chorrillo
21/01/26
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo1-0
HT 0-0
San Martin FC
24/10/25
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo3-3
HT 2-2
San Martin FC
18/08/25
Panama Liga Prom
San Martin FC0-1
HT 0-1
Chorrillo
12/04/25
Panama Liga Prom
San Martin FC2-2
HT 2-2
Chorrillo
26/01/25
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo0-3
HT 0-0
San Martin FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin FC 1100 413
2 Potros Del Este 1100 103
3 Chorrillo 1010 221
3 Tauro FC Reserves 1010 221
5 Plaza Amador Reserves 1001 010
6 Alianza FC Reserves 1001 140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Martin FCChorrillo
CD Arabe Unido Reserves 0-3 L 1-4 L
Plaza Amador Reserves 0-2 L 0-4 L
Potros Del Este 1-1 D 4-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves 0-0 D 2-2 D
Alianza FC Reserves 1-0 W 0-2 L
Academia Costa Del Este 1-3 L 0-7 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin FC

LDLWWDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/05 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-3 24 L
05/05 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-1 44 L
29/04 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 01 L
26/04 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-1 510 D
19/04 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 65 D
10/04 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 3-0 69 W
01/04 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-0 711 W
26/03 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-3 2-5 57 L
21/03 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-1 D
13/03 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-3 35 L

Chorrillo

DLLLWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-2 46 D
30/04 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 67 L
23/04 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-4 0-4 46 L
16/04 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-4 36 L
10/04 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-3 59 L
02/04 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 4-0 24 W
28/03 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 1-4 52 L
20/03 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-7 37 L
14/03 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
3-4 L
06/03 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-1 13 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin FC vs Chorrillo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin FC win (52%). Probabilities: San Martin FC 52%, draw 24%, Chorrillo 24%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin FC vs Chorrillo?

The model expects 3.06 goals (San Martin FC 1.85 · Chorrillo 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin FC vs Chorrillo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.