Football · Hungary NBI Women · 05/09, 16:30

Prediction: Kispest Honved (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Team pages: Kispest Honved (W) · Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Kispest Honved (W)0.82

Ferencvarosi TC (W)2.49

1X2

10% 17% 73%

Kispest Honved (W) Draw Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLWWDL

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–5 Ferencvarosi TC (W) (6 last)

Kispest Honved (W)0-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)2-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)1-1Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)4-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)1-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)9-1Kispest Honved (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved (W) 1504 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1614

	Kispest Honved (W)	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Our model	10%	17%	73%
Market	10%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1504 vs 1614).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	3.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	1.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.2	2.4 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

19.50

X5.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	11.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
X	6.00 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50
2	1.22 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +13’	11.00	6.00	1.22
03:05 +5’	13.00▲	7.00▲	1.17▼
06:15 +4’	9.50▼	5.50▼	1.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–5 Ferencvarosi TC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Hungary Cup Women	Kispest Honved (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
22/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved (W)
22/08/25 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
22/03/25 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved (W)
21/09/24 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	1-3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
13/11/16 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	9-1 HT 4-0	Kispest Honved (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	5	4	1	0	12	0	13
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	4	3	1	0	19	4	10
3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	4	3	1	0	12	2	10
4	Ujpest (W)	5	3	1	1	12	5	10
5	Puskas FC (W)	5	2	2	1	15	6	8
6	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	5	2	1	2	5	2	7
7	Kispest Honved (W)	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	5	2	0	3	7	11	6
9	Fehervar FC (W)	5	2	0	3	6	19	6
10	Astra HFC (W)	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	5	0	0	5	0	17	0
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	5	0	0	5	5	26	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ujpest (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-1 L	5-1 W
Budaorsi SC (W)	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved (W)

DWDDWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	4-0	11	2	W
08/05	Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	12	0	D
03/05	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-2	12	1	D
24/04	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	5-0	6-0	5	0	W
05/04	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

DWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W
23/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-0	9	0	W
15/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
28/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	8-0	5	1	W
23/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	6-2	4	4	W
16/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
09/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	5-1	3	1	W
02/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	5-1	6	2	W
25/04	Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-1	16	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved (W) 10%, draw 17%, Ferencvarosi TC (W) 73%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Kispest Honved (W) 0.82 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 2.49), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.