Prediction: Paduano EC vs FC Rio de Janeiro
Team pages: FC Rio de Janeiro
| Paduano EC | Draw | FC Rio de Janeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paduano EC (rating 1512 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paduano EC | FC Rio de Janeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Serra Macaense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Cardoso Moreira | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | SE Belford Roxo | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | 7 de Abril | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Paduano EC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Campos RJ | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| 11 | Buzios | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
| 12 | Paraty | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paduano EC | FC Rio de Janeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Buzios | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| SE Belford Roxo | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| 7 de Abril | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Friburguense | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Campos RJ | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Paraty | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Barra Mansa | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Serra Macaense | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Santa Cruz RJ | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Cardoso Moreira | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Paduano EC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paduano EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Buzios Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | 7 de Abril Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/10 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/10 | Campos RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Paraty Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Barra Mansa Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Serra Macaense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Cardoso Moreira Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
FC Rio de Janeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | 7 de Abril Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 18/10 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Campos RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 05/10 | Paraty Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 01/10 | Barra Mansa Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 27/09 | Serra Macaense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Cardoso Moreira Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Buzios Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paduano EC vs FC Rio de Janeiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paduano EC win (63%). Probabilities: Paduano EC 63%, draw 22%, FC Rio de Janeiro 15%.
How many goals are expected in Paduano EC vs FC Rio de Janeiro?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Paduano EC 1.97 · FC Rio de Janeiro 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paduano EC vs FC Rio de Janeiro?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.