Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 20:30

Prediction: Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Team pages: Defensores Puerto Vilelas · Independiente Chivilcoy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Defensores Puerto Vilelas1.74
Independiente Chivilcoy0.68
1X2
62% 25% 13%
Defensores Puerto Vilelas Draw Independiente Chivilcoy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDWLDL
Independiente Chivilcoy 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLDWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1512 · Independiente Chivilcoy 1486
Defensores Puerto VilelasDrawIndependiente Chivilcoy
Our model62%25%13%
Market62%26%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Defensores Puerto VilelasIndependiente Chivilcoy
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.40.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 31.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.24.3 / 0.2

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 6420 11314
2 Gimnasia y Esgrima 6321 8111
3 Escobar FC 7322 7911
4 Independiente Chivilcoy 6231 539
5 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 6222 988
6 Club Atlético El Linqueño 6141 437
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 6132 336
8 Sarmiento de Resistencia 6204 4126
9 Tucuman Central 7025 8172

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDefensores Puerto VilelasIndependiente Chivilcoy
Club Atlético El Linqueño 0-0 D 1-0 W
Gimnasia y Esgrima 0-2 L 0-0 D
Tucuman Central 4-3 W 2-0 W
Sportivo Las Parejas 0-0 D 0-0 D
Sarmiento de Resistencia 4-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Chivilcoy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

WLWLWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-2 84 L
23/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 25 D
16/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 39 L
12/08 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 4-3 23 W
08/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 31 D
03/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 4-1 35 W
12/07 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 13 L
04/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 34 W
28/06 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 0-4 15 L
21/06 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 2-1 41 W

Independiente Chivilcoy

LDLDDLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 46 W
30/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 02 D
23/08 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 33 W
16/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 05 D
12/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 116 L
08/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 38 D
26/07 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 54 D
12/07 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 58 L
05/07 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 42 D
28/06 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (62%). Probabilities: Defensores Puerto Vilelas 62%, draw 25%, Independiente Chivilcoy 13%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1.74 · Independiente Chivilcoy 0.68), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.