Prediction: Santamarina Tandil vs CA Costa Brava
Team pages: Santamarina Tandil · CA Costa Brava
| Santamarina Tandil | Draw | CA Costa Brava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 37% | 33% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Costa Brava (rating 1449 vs 1498).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santamarina Tandil | CA Costa Brava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Rincon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | San Martin de Mendoza | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | FADEP Mendoza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Germinal de Rawson | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | CA Costa Brava | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Guillermo Brown | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Santamarina Tandil | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Sol de Mayo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santamarina Tandil | CA Costa Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud Unida Universitario | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Guillermo Brown | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FADEP Mendoza | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Germinal de Rawson | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Mendoza | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Costa Brava (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
CA Costa Brava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Costa Brava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santamarina Tandil win (37%). Probabilities: Santamarina Tandil 37%, draw 34%, CA Costa Brava 29%.
How many goals are expected in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Costa Brava?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Santamarina Tandil 0.97 · CA Costa Brava 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Santamarina Tandil vs CA Costa Brava?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.