Football · Argentina Torneo A · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: CA Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo

Team pages: CA Costa Brava · Sol de Mayo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
CA Costa Brava2.04
Sol de Mayo0.74
1X2
66% 23% 11%
CA Costa Brava Draw Sol de Mayo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Costa Brava 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LLDDDWWLDW
Sol de Mayo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDWLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Costa Brava 1505 · Sol de Mayo 1419
CA Costa BravaDrawSol de Mayo
Our model67%22%12%
Market66%24%11%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Costa Brava (rating 1505 vs 1419).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA Costa BravaSol de Mayo
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/80/20%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.82.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.24.8 / 0.9

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin de Mendoza 8431 9615
2 FADEP Mendoza 8422 7414
3 Germinal de Rawson 8341 10513
4 CA Costa Brava 8341 10713
5 Juventud Unida Universitario 8413 7613
6 Deportivo Rincon 8332 8512
7 Guillermo Brown 8314 6710
8 Club Circulo Deportivo 8224 478
9 Santamarina Tandil 8206 6136
9 Sol de Mayo 8206 6136

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA Costa BravaSol de Mayo
Santamarina Tandil 3-1 W 1-0 W
Deportivo Rincon 1-1 D 2-4 L
Juventud Unida Universitario 1-2 L 0-1 L
Club Circulo Deportivo 1-0 W 1-2 L
Guillermo Brown 1-0 W 0-2 L
FADEP Mendoza 0-0 D 0-2 L
Germinal de Rawson 1-1 D 1-0 W
San Martin de Mendoza 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 4 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CA Costa Brava (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Costa Brava

LLDDDWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 3-1 25 W
06/09 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-1 05 D
30/08 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 27 L
22/08 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 41 W
16/08 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 46 W
12/08 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 53 D
08/08 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 104 D
02/08 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 2-2 15 D
25/07 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 54 L
04/07 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 57 L

Sol de Mayo

LDWLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 L
06/09 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 28 L
30/08 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 45 L
23/08 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 73 L
16/08 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 67 W
13/08 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 1-2 L
08/08 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 2-4 47 L
02/08 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 42 W
26/07 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 3-3 86 D
12/07 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 1-3 67 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Costa Brava win (66%). Probabilities: CA Costa Brava 66%, draw 23%, Sol de Mayo 11%.

How many goals are expected in CA Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?

The model expects 2.79 goals (CA Costa Brava 2.04 · Sol de Mayo 0.74), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.