Football · Argentina Torneo A · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Juventud Unida Universitario vs San Martin de Mendoza

Team pages: Juventud Unida Universitario · San Martin de Mendoza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.62Total

Juventud Unida Universitario1.01

San Martin de Mendoza0.61

1X2

44% 33% 22%

Juventud Unida Universitario Draw San Martin de Mendoza

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Unida Universitario 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLWWW

San Martin de Mendoza 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWWDLDW

Head-to-head

Juventud Unida Universitario 3–3–0 San Martin de Mendoza (6 last)

Juventud Unida Universitario1-1San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza0-0Juventud Unida Universitario
Juventud Unida Universitario2-1San Martin de Mendoza
Juventud Unida Universitario3-0San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza1-1Juventud Unida Universitario
San Martin de Mendoza1-2Juventud Unida Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Unida Universitario 1506 · San Martin de Mendoza 1526

	Juventud Unida Universitario	Draw	San Martin de Mendoza
Our model	43%	36%	21%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.62 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juventud Unida Universitario: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Unida Universitario	San Martin de Mendoza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X2.88

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:54 +3’	1.95	2.88	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida Universitario 3–3–0 San Martin de Mendoza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	Juventud Unida Universitario	1-1 HT 1-0	San Martin de Mendoza
21/03/26 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida Universitario
31/08/25 Argentina Torneo A	Juventud Unida Universitario	2-1 HT 1-0	San Martin de Mendoza
08/06/25 Argentina Torneo A	Juventud Unida Universitario	3-0 HT 3-0	San Martin de Mendoza
06/04/25 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	1-1 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida Universitario
11/08/24 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	1-2 HT 1-0	Juventud Unida Universitario

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin de Mendoza	8	4	3	1	9	6	15
2	FADEP Mendoza	8	4	2	2	7	4	14
3	Germinal de Rawson	8	3	4	1	10	5	13
4	CA Costa Brava	8	3	4	1	10	7	13
5	Juventud Unida Universitario	8	4	1	3	7	6	13
6	Deportivo Rincon	8	3	3	2	8	5	12
7	Guillermo Brown	8	3	1	4	6	7	10
8	Club Circulo Deportivo	8	2	2	4	4	7	8
9	Santamarina Tandil	8	2	0	6	6	13	6
9	Sol de Mayo	8	2	0	6	6	13	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Unida Universitario	San Martin de Mendoza
Sol de Mayo	1-0 W	2-1 W
Santamarina Tandil	1-0 W	1-0 W
CA Costa Brava	2-1 W	2-2 D
Deportivo Rincon	0-1 L	1-0 W
Club Circulo Deportivo	0-0 D	2-0 W
Guillermo Brown	1-2 L	1-1 D
FADEP Mendoza	1-0 W	0-2 L
Germinal de Rawson	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin de Mendoza (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Unida Universitario

LDLWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
30/08	CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
23/08	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
12/08	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
26/07	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/07	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

San Martin de Mendoza

DDDWWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/09	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
30/08	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
23/08	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/08	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
13/08	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
02/08	CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
26/07	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	8	0	D
12/07	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida Universitario vs San Martin de Mendoza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud Unida Universitario win (44%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida Universitario 44%, draw 33%, San Martin de Mendoza 22%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida Universitario vs San Martin de Mendoza?

The model expects 1.62 goals (Juventud Unida Universitario 1.01 · San Martin de Mendoza 0.61), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Unida Universitario vs San Martin de Mendoza?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.