Football · Argentina Torneo A · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa
Team pages: CA Douglas Haig · San Martin Formosa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
CA Douglas Haig1.39
San Martin Formosa0.84
1X2
CA Douglas Haig
Draw
San Martin Formosa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Douglas Haig
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
San Martin Formosa
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Douglas Haig
0–2–2
San Martin Formosa
(4 last)
- CA Douglas Haig1-2San Martin Formosa
- CA Douglas Haig1-1San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa1-1CA Douglas Haig
- San Martin Formosa3-1CA Douglas Haig
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Douglas Haig 1488 · San Martin Formosa 1542
| CA Douglas Haig | Draw | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin Formosa (rating 1488 vs 1542).
- H2H favours San Martin Formosa: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Douglas Haig | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Douglas Haig 0–2–2 San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 1-2 HT 1-1 | San Martin Formosa |
| 16/10/22 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Martin Formosa |
| 03/07/22 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 03/11/19 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | CA Douglas Haig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sol de America de Formosa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Douglas Haig win (49%). Probabilities: CA Douglas Haig 49%, draw 29%, San Martin Formosa 22%.
How many goals are expected in CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
The model expects 2.23 goals (CA Douglas Haig 1.39 · San Martin Formosa 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.