Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/09, 00:00

Prediction: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Sol de America de Formosa

Team pages: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy · Sol de America de Formosa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1.49

Sol de America de Formosa0.42

1X2

64% 26% 10%

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Draw Sol de America de Formosa

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

1-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDDLDWWW

Sol de America de Formosa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1529 · Sol de America de Formosa 1535

	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	Draw	Sol de America de Formosa
Our model	63%	27%	9%
Market	64%	25%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	Sol de America de Formosa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.60

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +74’	1.40	3.60	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
2	Sol de America de Formosa	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
3	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	6	3	2	1	8	4	11
4	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	6	3	2	1	4	2	11
5	Defensores de Belgrano VR	7	3	1	3	4	3	10
6	CA Douglas Haig	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
7	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
8	Sportivo Belgrano	7	1	2	4	3	10	5
9	CA Bartolome Mitre	6	0	1	5	2	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	Sol de America de Formosa
CA Bartolome Mitre	1-0 W	2-1 W
CA Sarmiento de la Banda	1-0 W	0-0 D
Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-0 W	1-0 W
San Martin Formosa	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sportivo Belgrano	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

LWDDDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
30/08	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
23/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
16/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
13/08	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
01/08	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
25/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-2	4	2	D
12/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
28/06	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	1	6	L

Sol de America de Formosa

LWWLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/08	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
17/08	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
13/08	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
09/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
26/07	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
12/07	Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/07	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
28/06	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Sol de America de Formosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy win (64%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 64%, draw 26%, Sol de America de Formosa 10%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.49 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.42), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.