Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 20:30

Prediction: Cipolletti vs CA Alvarado

Team pages: Cipolletti · CA Alvarado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Cipolletti0.96

CA Alvarado1.06

1X2

31% 33% 36%

Cipolletti Draw CA Alvarado

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Cipolletti 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDWLDD

CA Alvarado 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Cipolletti 1–1–2 CA Alvarado (4 last)

CA Alvarado1-1Cipolletti
Cipolletti0-1CA Alvarado
CA Alvarado2-1Cipolletti
CA Alvarado0-2Cipolletti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cipolletti 1533 · CA Alvarado 1569

	Cipolletti	Draw	CA Alvarado
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Alvarado: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cipolletti	CA Alvarado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.5 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.35 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:39 +15’	3.00	2.80	2.35
13:54 +3’	2.88▼	2.80	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cipolletti 1–1–2 CA Alvarado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/11/18 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	1-1 HT 1-0	Cipolletti
15/09/18 Argentina Torneo A	Cipolletti	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Alvarado
15/10/17 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	2-1 HT 0-1	Cipolletti
16/04/17 Argentina Torneo A	CA Alvarado	0-2 HT 0-2	Cipolletti

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Alvarado	6	4	2	0	9	3	14
2	Olimpo B Blanca	7	3	3	1	6	3	12
3	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	6	3	1	2	9	8	10
4	Kimberley Mar del Plata	6	3	0	3	8	6	9
5	Club Villa Mitre	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
6	Cipolletti	6	2	3	1	7	7	9
7	CDA Monte Maiz	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
8	Huracan Las Heras	6	1	0	5	2	8	3
9	Juventud Antoniana	6	0	2	4	0	7	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cipolletti	CA Alvarado
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	2-2 D	3-2 W
Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-3 L	2-0 W
CDA Monte Maiz	1-0 W	1-1 D
Club Villa Mitre	1-1 D	0-0 D
Huracan Las Heras	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cipolletti

WDDWWDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	2-2	19	3	D
16/08	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-3	2	7	L
12/08	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/08	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
02/08	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
11/07	Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
05/07	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
21/06	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W

CA Alvarado

WLWDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-2	9	6	W
30/08	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
23/08	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
16/08	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
12/08	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
08/08	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
11/07	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/07	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	4-0	5-0	4	3	W
28/06	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
20/06	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	8	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cipolletti vs CA Alvarado?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Alvarado win (36%). Probabilities: Cipolletti 31%, draw 33%, CA Alvarado 36%.

How many goals are expected in Cipolletti vs CA Alvarado?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Cipolletti 0.96 · CA Alvarado 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cipolletti vs CA Alvarado?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.