Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 20:00

Prediction: Tucuman Central vs Sportivo Las Parejas

Team pages: Tucuman Central · Sportivo Las Parejas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Tucuman Central0.75
Sportivo Las Parejas1.13
1X2
24% 32% 44%
Tucuman Central Draw Sportivo Las Parejas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Tucuman Central 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLLLDL
Sportivo Las Parejas 1-7-2 (W-D-L)
DDDDLDDDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tucuman Central 1416 · Sportivo Las Parejas 1476
Tucuman CentralDrawSportivo Las Parejas
Our model23%34%43%
Market24%31%45%
Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Las Parejas (rating 1416 vs 1476).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tucuman CentralSportivo Las Parejas
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.20.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.33 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.34.1 / 0.2

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 6420 11314
2 Gimnasia y Esgrima 6321 8111
3 Escobar FC 7322 7911
4 Independiente Chivilcoy 6231 539
5 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 6222 988
6 Club Atlético El Linqueño 6141 437
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 6132 336
8 Sarmiento de Resistencia 6204 4126
9 Tucuman Central 7025 8172

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTucuman CentralSportivo Las Parejas
Sarmiento de Resistencia 0-1 L 3-0 W
Boca Unidos 2-2 D 0-1 L
Independiente Chivilcoy 0-2 L 0-0 D
Escobar FC 2-3 L 0-0 D
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 3-4 L 0-0 D
Club Atlético El Linqueño 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Las Parejas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tucuman Central

LLDLDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 12 L
29/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 2-2 D
23/08 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 03 L
15/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 2-3 68 L
12/08 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 3-4 33 L
08/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 117 D
02/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 52 L
26/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/07 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-3 15 L
05/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 85 L

Sportivo Las Parejas

DDDDLDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 3-0 116 W
23/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 77 L
16/08 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 85 D
12/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 62 D
08/08 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 41 D
02/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 93 L
26/07 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 34 D
12/07 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 56 D
05/07 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 26 D
27/06 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-1 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tucuman Central vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Las Parejas win (44%). Probabilities: Tucuman Central 24%, draw 32%, Sportivo Las Parejas 44%.

How many goals are expected in Tucuman Central vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Tucuman Central 0.75 · Sportivo Las Parejas 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tucuman Central vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.