Football · Argentina Torneo A · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Boca Unidos vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Team pages: Boca Unidos · Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Boca Unidos1.63
Defensores Puerto Vilelas1.16
1X2
47% 28% 25%
Boca Unidos Draw Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Unidos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWWDWL
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWDWLDLW
Head-to-head
Boca Unidos 0–2 Defensores Puerto Vilelas (2 last)
  • Defensores Puerto Vilelas2-0Boca Unidos
  • Boca Unidos2-4Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Unidos 1511 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1539
Boca UnidosDrawDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Our model47%27%26%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Defensores Puerto Vilelas: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boca UnidosDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.31.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.44.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Unidos 002 Defensores Puerto Vilelas

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/06/26
Argentina Torneo A
Defensores Puerto Vilelas2-0
HT 1-0
Boca Unidos
04/04/26
Argentina Torneo A
Boca Unidos2-4
HT 1-2
Defensores Puerto Vilelas

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia y Esgrima 7421 9114
2 Boca Unidos 7421 11414
3 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 7322 11811
4 Escobar FC 7322 7911
5 Club Atlético El Linqueño 7241 5310
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 7232 739
7 Independiente Chivilcoy 7232 559
8 Sarmiento de Resistencia 7205 4136
9 Tucuman Central 8026 8212

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoca UnidosDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Club Atlético El Linqueño 0-1 L 0-0 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima 1-0 W 0-2 L
Tucuman Central 2-2 D 4-3 W
Sportivo Las Parejas 1-0 W 0-0 D
Sarmiento de Resistencia 3-0 W 4-1 W
Independiente Chivilcoy 1-1 D 2-0 W
Escobar FC 3-0 W 1-2 L
Juventud Antoniana 0-3 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Unidos (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Unidos

WLLWDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 14 L
06/09 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 13 W
29/08 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-2 D
23/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 67 W
16/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 63 W
08/08 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 48 D
01/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 W
26/07 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 63 L
12/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-3 L
05/07 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 66 W

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

LWLWDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 76 W
07/09 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-2 84 L
23/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 25 D
16/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 39 L
12/08 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 4-3 23 W
08/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 31 D
03/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 4-1 35 W
12/07 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 13 L
04/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 34 W
28/06 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 0-4 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Unidos win (47%). Probabilities: Boca Unidos 47%, draw 28%, Defensores Puerto Vilelas 25%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Boca Unidos 1.63 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1.16), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.