Football · Argentina Torneo A · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon
Team pages: Sol de Mayo · Deportivo Rincon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Sol de Mayo1.3
Deportivo Rincon0.95
1X2
Sol de Mayo
Draw
Deportivo Rincon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sol de Mayo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rincon
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sol de Mayo
1–1–3
Deportivo Rincon
(5 last)
- Sol de Mayo2-2Deportivo Rincon
- Deportivo Rincon2-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo0-1Deportivo Rincon
- Deportivo Rincon2-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo1-0Deportivo Rincon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de Mayo 1477 · Deportivo Rincon 1487
| Sol de Mayo | Draw | Deportivo Rincon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Rincon: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de Mayo | Deportivo Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/22/67% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de Mayo 1–1–3 Deportivo Rincon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Rincon |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 04/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rincon |
| 18/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 23/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Rincon |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Rincon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Germinal de Rawson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sol de Mayo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FADEP Mendoza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | San Martin de Mendoza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | CA Costa Brava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Guillermo Brown | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Deportivo Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de Mayo win (43%). Probabilities: Sol de Mayo 43%, draw 31%, Deportivo Rincon 26%.
How many goals are expected in Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Sol de Mayo 1.3 · Deportivo Rincon 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.