Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 20:30

Prediction: Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown

Team pages: Germinal de Rawson · Guillermo Brown

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Germinal de Rawson1.06
Guillermo Brown0.95
1X2
36% 33% 31%
Germinal de Rawson Draw Guillermo Brown
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Germinal de Rawson 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWLDDD
Guillermo Brown 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWLWWD
Head-to-head
Germinal de Rawson 2–1–2 Guillermo Brown (5 last)
  • Guillermo Brown2-0Germinal de Rawson
  • Germinal de Rawson1-1Guillermo Brown
  • Germinal de Rawson1-0Guillermo Brown
  • Guillermo Brown1-2Germinal de Rawson
  • Germinal de Rawson1-2Guillermo Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Germinal de Rawson 1482 · Guillermo Brown 1500
Germinal de RawsonDrawGuillermo Brown
Our model36%33%30%
Market37%33%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Germinal de RawsonGuillermo Brown
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.30.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.71.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.73.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Germinal de Rawson 212 Guillermo Brown

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Argentina Torneo A
Guillermo Brown2-0
HT 1-0
Germinal de Rawson
17/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Germinal de Rawson1-1
HT 0-0
Guillermo Brown
27/07/25
Argentina Torneo A
Germinal de Rawson1-0
HT 0-0
Guillermo Brown
18/05/25
Argentina Torneo A
Guillermo Brown1-2
HT 1-0
Germinal de Rawson
16/03/25
Argentina Torneo A
Germinal de Rawson1-2
HT 1-1
Guillermo Brown

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Rincon 7331 8412
2 San Martin de Mendoza 7331 7612
3 FADEP Mendoza 7322 6411
4 Germinal de Rawson 7241 9510
5 CA Costa Brava 7241 7610
6 Juventud Unida Universitario 7313 6610
6 Guillermo Brown 7313 6610
8 Club Circulo Deportivo 7223 458
9 Santamarina Tandil 7205 5106
10 Sol de Mayo 7205 6126

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGerminal de RawsonGuillermo Brown
Deportivo Rincon 0-0 D 0-2 L
San Martin de Mendoza 0-0 D 1-1 D
Sol de Mayo 0-1 L 2-0 W
Santamarina Tandil 5-1 W 1-0 W
CA Costa Brava 1-1 D 0-1 L
Juventud Unida Universitario 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Germinal de Rawson (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Germinal de Rawson

LLLWDWLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 64 D
30/08 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/08 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 62 D
16/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 97 L
12/08 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 5-1 W
08/08 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 34 D
02/08 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-1 41 W
26/07 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 77 L
12/07 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 77 L
05/07 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-4 0-5 43 L

Guillermo Brown

WLWLLWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 62 D
30/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 15 W
23/08 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 61 W
16/08 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 36 L
12/08 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-1 W
08/08 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 52 L
02/08 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 L
26/07 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 07 W
12/07 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 50 L
05/07 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Germinal de Rawson win (36%). Probabilities: Germinal de Rawson 36%, draw 33%, Guillermo Brown 31%.

How many goals are expected in Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Germinal de Rawson 1.06 · Guillermo Brown 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.