Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 11/10, 20:00
Prediction: Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah
Team pages: Al Shabab Riyadh · Al Taawon Buraidah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Al Shabab Riyadh1.5
Al Taawon Buraidah1.3
1X2
Al Shabab Riyadh
Draw
Al Taawon Buraidah
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Shabab Riyadh
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Al Taawon Buraidah
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Shabab Riyadh
1–1–4
Al Taawon Buraidah
(6 last)
- Al Shabab Riyadh1-5Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah2-0Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Taawon Buraidah2-2Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Shabab Riyadh1-0Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah1-0Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Shabab Riyadh1-2Al Taawon Buraidah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Shabab Riyadh 1453 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1476
| Al Shabab Riyadh | Draw | Al Taawon Buraidah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Taawon Buraidah: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Shabab Riyadh | Al Taawon Buraidah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 2.5 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Shabab Riyadh 1–1–4 Al Taawon Buraidah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 09/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 22/02/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 21/09/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 18/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 02/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Draih | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh SC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Shabab Riyadh | Al Taawon Buraidah |
|---|---|---|
| Al Fayha | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Al Kholood | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 0-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Al Hazem | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Al Riyadh | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Shabab Riyadh (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Shabab Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/08 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/08 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Al Taawon Buraidah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Shabab Riyadh win (41%). Probabilities: Al Shabab Riyadh 41%, draw 26%, Al Taawon Buraidah 32%.
How many goals are expected in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Al Shabab Riyadh 1.5 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1.3), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.