Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 19/10, 17:05
Prediction: Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah
Team pages: Al Fayha · Al Ahli Jeddah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Al Fayha0.81
Al Ahli Jeddah2.12
1X2
Al Fayha
Draw
Al Ahli Jeddah
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Fayha
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Al Ahli Jeddah
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Fayha
0–1–5
Al Ahli Jeddah
(6 last)
- Al Fayha1-1Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah2-0Al Fayha
- Al Ahli Jeddah5-0Al Fayha
- Al Fayha0-1Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah1-0Al Fayha
- Al Fayha0-4Al Ahli Jeddah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Fayha 1450 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1577
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 20% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1450 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Al Ahli Jeddah: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Fayha | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Fayha 0–1–5 Al Ahli Jeddah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fayha | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 30/12/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Fayha |
| 18/04/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Al Fayha |
| 22/11/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fayha | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 27/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Fayha |
| 14/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fayha | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Fayha | Al Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Al Riyadh | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Al Kholood | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Abha | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Fayha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/08 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Al Ahli Jeddah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/08 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (67%). Probabilities: Al Fayha 13%, draw 20%, Al Ahli Jeddah 67%.
How many goals are expected in Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Al Fayha 0.81 · Al Ahli Jeddah 2.12), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.