Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 20/10, 17:10
Prediction: Al Taawon Buraidah vs Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Team pages: Al Taawon Buraidah · Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Al Taawon Buraidah1.03
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar2.02
1X2
Al Taawon Buraidah
Draw
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Taawon Buraidah
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Taawon Buraidah
3–1–2
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
(6 last)
- Al Qadisiya Al Khubar1-1Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah2-0Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Taawon Buraidah0-1Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Qadisiya Al Khubar0-3Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah0-3Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Taawon Buraidah2-0Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Taawon Buraidah 1476 · Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 1609
| Al Taawon Buraidah | Draw | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 20% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Qadisiya Al Khubar (rating 1476 vs 1609).
- H2H favours Al Taawon Buraidah: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Taawon Buraidah | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Taawon Buraidah 3–1–2 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 01/11/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 11/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 11/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 07/01/25 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 24/09/23 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Taawon Buraidah | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Taawon Buraidah | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
|---|---|---|
| Al Draih | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Al Kholood | 2-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Qadisiya Al Khubar (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Taawon Buraidah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Taawon Buraidah vs Al Qadisiya Al Khubar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Qadisiya Al Khubar win (60%). Probabilities: Al Taawon Buraidah 18%, draw 21%, Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 60%.
How many goals are expected in Al Taawon Buraidah vs Al Qadisiya Al Khubar?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Al Taawon Buraidah 1.03 · Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 2.02), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Taawon Buraidah vs Al Qadisiya Al Khubar?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.