Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 24/10, 17:05

Prediction: Al Kholood vs Al Ittifaq Dammam

Team pages: Al Kholood · Al Ittifaq Dammam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Al Kholood1.42

Al Ittifaq Dammam1.52

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Al Kholood Draw Al Ittifaq Dammam

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Kholood 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWDWLLL

Al Ittifaq Dammam 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDDDW

Head-to-head

Al Kholood 2–2 Al Ittifaq Dammam (4 last)

Al Kholood1-2Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al Ittifaq Dammam2-1Al Kholood
Al Kholood1-0Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al Ittifaq Dammam2-3Al Kholood

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Kholood 1495 · Al Ittifaq Dammam 1534

	Al Kholood	Draw	Al Ittifaq Dammam
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Kholood	Al Ittifaq Dammam
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	1.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +10’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Kholood 2–0–2 Al Ittifaq Dammam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Kholood	1-2 HT 1-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam
28/08/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ittifaq Dammam	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Kholood
10/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Kholood	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam
10/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ittifaq Dammam	2-3 HT 1-1	Al Kholood

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hilal Riyadh	9	8	0	1	27	7	24
2	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	9	7	1	1	23	9	22
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	8	6	1	1	19	7	19
4	Al Ahli Jeddah	9	6	0	3	23	12	18
5	Al Ittihad Jeddah	8	5	2	1	14	9	17
6	Neom SC	9	5	1	3	14	8	16
7	Al Ittifaq Dammam	9	4	3	2	13	12	15
8	Al Draih	9	3	3	3	8	9	12
9	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14	18	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	10	2	6	2	9	13	12
11	Al Hazm	10	2	3	5	10	14	9
12	Al Riyadh	8	2	3	3	9	17	9
13	Al Shabab Riyadh	9	1	5	3	11	13	8
14	Al Faisaly Harmah	9	1	4	4	10	17	7
14	Al Fayha	10	1	4	5	10	17	7
16	Al Fateh SC	10	1	3	6	9	20	6
17	Al Taawon Buraidah	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6	15	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Kholood	Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al Faisaly Harmah	2-3 L	0-0 D
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	0-5 L	3-3 D
Al Riyadh	0-2 L	4-2 W
Al Draih	1-1 D	0-3 L
Al Fateh SC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ittifaq Dammam (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Kholood

DDWDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
09/10	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	0-5	10	1	L
13/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-2	11	4	L
09/09	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
03/09	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-1	1	3	W
26/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
22/08	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	3-2	3	4	W
15/08	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/05	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D

Al Ittifaq Dammam

DWWLLWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/10	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	11	5	D
11/09	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	3-3	0	7	D
08/09	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
04/09	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
29/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
25/08	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	2-3	2	3	L
22/08	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-0	11	0	W
14/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	4-2	8	5	W
21/05	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	0	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Kholood vs Al Ittifaq Dammam?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ittifaq Dammam win (39%). Probabilities: Al Kholood 34%, draw 27%, Al Ittifaq Dammam 39%.

How many goals are expected in Al Kholood vs Al Ittifaq Dammam?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Al Kholood 1.42 · Al Ittifaq Dammam 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Ittifaq Dammam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.