Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Al Qadisiya Al Khubar vs Al Hilal Riyadh
Team pages: Al Qadisiya Al Khubar · Al Hilal Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar1.53
Al Hilal Riyadh1.73
1X2
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Draw
Al Hilal Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Al Hilal Riyadh
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
1–2–3
Al Hilal Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Qadisiya Al Khubar2-2Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-2Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-0Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Qadisiya Al Khubar2-1Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh1-0Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
- Al Qadisiya Al Khubar1-3Al Hilal Riyadh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 1604 · Al Hilal Riyadh 1624
| Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | Draw | Al Hilal Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | Al Hilal Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 2.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 1–2–3 Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 13/09/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 26/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 27/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 20/03/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
| 21/12/20 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Fayha | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | Al Hilal Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Jeddah | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Al Faisaly Harmah | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Neom SC | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Al Ittihad Jeddah | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Hilal Riyadh (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Qadisiya Al Khubar vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hilal Riyadh win (42%). Probabilities: Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 33%, draw 25%, Al Hilal Riyadh 42%.
How many goals are expected in Al Qadisiya Al Khubar vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 1.53 · Al Hilal Riyadh 1.73), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Qadisiya Al Khubar vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.