Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 24/10, 20:00
Prediction: Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah
Team pages: Al Riyadh · Al Taawon Buraidah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Al Riyadh1.16
Al Taawon Buraidah1.41
1X2
Al Riyadh
Draw
Al Taawon Buraidah
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Riyadh
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Al Taawon Buraidah
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Riyadh
2–2–2
Al Taawon Buraidah
(6 last)
- Al Taawon Buraidah1-1Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh1-3Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah3-2Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh1-0Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Riyadh0-0Al Taawon Buraidah
- Al Taawon Buraidah1-2Al Riyadh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Riyadh 1502 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1469
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Taawon Buraidah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Riyadh | Al Taawon Buraidah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Riyadh 2–2–2 Al Taawon Buraidah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 18/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 20/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Al Riyadh |
| 21/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 09/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Taawon Buraidah |
| 24/11/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Al Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Fayha | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Riyadh | Al Taawon Buraidah |
|---|---|---|
| Al Fayha | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Al Kholood | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Al-Nassr Riyadh | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Riyadh (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Al Taawon Buraidah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Taawon Buraidah win (42%). Probabilities: Al Riyadh 30%, draw 28%, Al Taawon Buraidah 42%.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Al Riyadh 1.16 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.