Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 30/10, 14:45
Prediction: Abha vs Al Ittihad Jeddah
Team pages: Abha · Al Ittihad Jeddah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Abha1.09
Al Ittihad Jeddah1.92
1X2
Abha
Draw
Al Ittihad Jeddah
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Abha
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Al Ittihad Jeddah
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Abha
1–5
Al Ittihad Jeddah
(6 last)
- Abha3-1Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Al Ittihad Jeddah4-2Abha
- Al Ittihad Jeddah4-0Abha
- Abha1-2Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Abha0-4Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Al Ittihad Jeddah6-1Abha
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abha 1405 · Al Ittihad Jeddah 1593
| Abha | Draw | Al Ittihad Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad Jeddah (rating 1405 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Al Ittihad Jeddah: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Abha | Al Ittihad Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Abha 1–0–5 Al Ittihad Jeddah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
| 10/11/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Abha |
| 08/05/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Abha |
| 31/12/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
| 06/02/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
| 11/09/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Abha |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Abha | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| Al Faisaly Harmah | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Al Draih | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Al-Nassr Riyadh | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Al Ittifaq Dammam | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Al Fayha | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Al Hazm | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 7 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ittihad Jeddah (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 09/09 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Al Ittihad Jeddah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 20/10 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/08 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abha vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ittihad Jeddah win (56%). Probabilities: Abha 20%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad Jeddah 56%.
How many goals are expected in Abha vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Abha 1.09 · Al Ittihad Jeddah 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.