Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah

Team pages: Al Shabab Riyadh · Al Ahli Jeddah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Al Shabab Riyadh1.51

Al Ahli Jeddah1.93

1X2

30% 24% 47%

Al Shabab Riyadh Draw Al Ahli Jeddah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLDWDW

Al Ahli Jeddah 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Al Shabab Riyadh 1–2–3 Al Ahli Jeddah (6 last)

Al Shabab Riyadh2-5Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah1-1Al Shabab Riyadh
Al Shabab Riyadh3-1Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah3-2Al Shabab Riyadh
Al Shabab Riyadh1-2Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah0-0Al Shabab Riyadh

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1478 vs 1595).
H2H favours Al Ahli Jeddah: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Shabab Riyadh	Al Ahli Jeddah
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.86

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42
X	4.05 → 4.05	Pinn 4.05
2	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +187’	3.42	4.05	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Shabab Riyadh 1–2–3 Al Ahli Jeddah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	2-5 HT 2-4	Al Ahli Jeddah
17/10/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Shabab Riyadh
11/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	3-1 HT 2-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
10/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	3-2 HT 2-0	Al Shabab Riyadh
11/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	1-2 HT 1-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
25/11/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Shabab Riyadh

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hilal Riyadh	10	9	0	1	30	9	27
2	Al-Nassr Riyadh	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
3	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	11	8	1	2	26	12	25
4	Al Ittihad Jeddah	10	7	2	1	20	10	23
5	Al Ahli Jeddah	10	7	0	3	27	13	21
6	Neom SC	11	6	1	4	16	9	19
7	Al Ittifaq Dammam	11	5	3	3	17	16	18
8	Al Draih	11	4	3	4	9	11	15
9	Al Kholood	10	3	3	4	14	21	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	11	2	6	3	10	17	12
11	Al Riyadh	10	3	3	4	11	19	12
12	Al Shabab Riyadh	10	2	5	3	14	14	11
13	Al Hazm	11	2	4	5	12	16	10
14	Al Fayha	11	1	5	5	12	19	8
15	Al Faisaly Harmah	10	1	4	5	11	20	7
16	Al Fateh SC	11	1	3	7	10	23	6
17	Al Taawon Buraidah	11	0	4	7	5	19	4
18	Abha	9	0	2	7	6	17	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Shabab Riyadh	Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Fateh SC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Al Fayha	0-0 D	3-2 W
Al Kholood	1-2 L	1-3 L
Al Hilal Riyadh	0-2 L	0-3 L
Al Hazm	1-1 D	3-1 W
Al Riyadh	3-3 D	5-0 W
Al Khaleej Saihat	0-0 D	4-1 W
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	1-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Shabab Riyadh

LDDDLLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
19/10	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
12/09	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
09/09	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-2	5	8	L
04/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
30/08	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
25/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-2	3-3	10	3	D
22/08	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
13/08	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-3	6	3	L

Al Ahli Jeddah

WWLLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
19/10	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
09/10	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
11/09	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/09	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	2-3	5	6	L
04/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
01/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
29/08	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
13/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (47%). Probabilities: Al Shabab Riyadh 30%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Jeddah 47%.

How many goals are expected in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Al Shabab Riyadh 1.51 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1.93), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.