Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC
Team pages: Al Hilal Riyadh · Al Fateh SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Al Hilal Riyadh2.91
Al Fateh SC0.91
1X2
Al Hilal Riyadh
Draw
Al Fateh SC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Hilal Riyadh
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Al Fateh SC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Hilal Riyadh
6–0
Al Fateh SC
(6 last)
- Al Fateh SC0-1Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh4-1Al Fateh SC
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-1Al Fateh SC
- Al Fateh SC3-4Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh9-0Al Fateh SC
- Al Hilal Riyadh3-1Al Fateh SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Hilal Riyadh 1631 · Al Fateh SC 1398
| Al Hilal Riyadh | Draw | Al Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Riyadh (rating 1631 vs 1398).
- H2H favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Hilal Riyadh | Al Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.9 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hilal Riyadh 6–0–0 Al Fateh SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 29/11/25 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Hilal Riyadh | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Al Fateh SC |
| 22/11/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Al Fateh SC |
| 16/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 3-4 HT 2-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 16/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 9-0 HT 4-0 | Al Fateh SC |
| 26/04/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Al Fateh SC |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Hilal Riyadh | Al Fateh SC |
|---|---|---|
| Al Hazm | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Al Ittihad Jeddah | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Al Taawon Buraidah | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Neom SC | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Al Ahli Jeddah | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 5-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Al Faisaly Harmah | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Hilal Riyadh (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
Al Fateh SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/10 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Hilal Riyadh win (82%). Probabilities: Al Hilal Riyadh 82%, draw 12%, Al Fateh SC 6%.
How many goals are expected in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Al Hilal Riyadh 2.91 · Al Fateh SC 0.91), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.