Football · Georgia Cup · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Rustavi vs FC Spaeri

Team pages: FC Spaeri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

FC Rustavi1.33

FC Spaeri1.13

1X2

41% 29% 31%

FC Rustavi Draw FC Spaeri

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rustavi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWWWLW

FC Spaeri 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDLDLW

Head-to-head

FC Rustavi 2–2–2 FC Spaeri (6 last)

FC Rustavi2-1FC Spaeri
FC Spaeri1-1FC Rustavi
FC Spaeri2-1FC Rustavi
FC Rustavi2-0FC Spaeri
FC Spaeri0-0FC Rustavi
FC Rustavi0-2FC Spaeri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rustavi 1526 · FC Spaeri 1504

	FC Rustavi	Draw	FC Spaeri
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rustavi	FC Spaeri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.1	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +10’	2.20	3.20	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rustavi 2–2–2 FC Spaeri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Rustavi	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Spaeri
18/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Spaeri	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Rustavi
21/11/25 Georgia First League	FC Spaeri	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Rustavi
19/09/25 Georgia First League	FC Rustavi	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Spaeri
28/05/25 Georgia First League	FC Spaeri	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Rustavi
12/04/25 Georgia First League	FC Rustavi	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Spaeri

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rustavi	FC Spaeri
Dila Gori	0-3 L	1-3 L
FC Iberia 1999	2-1 W	1-1 D
Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-0 W	2-1 W
Dinamo Batumi	0-1 L	3-3 D
Samgurali	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Gagra	1-1 D	3-0 W
Torpedo Kutaisi	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Spaeri (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Rustavi

DLDWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Cup	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
22/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-3	6	5	L
17/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
13/06	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
29/05	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
25/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
21/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
16/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
11/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-2	2-3	1	1	L
05/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

FC Spaeri

WDDWLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Cup	2-0	5-1	2	2	W
20/07	Samgurali Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
22/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
16/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
12/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
29/05	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
25/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
21/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	3-3	8	6	D
17/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
11/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rustavi vs FC Spaeri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rustavi win (41%). Probabilities: FC Rustavi 41%, draw 29%, FC Spaeri 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rustavi vs FC Spaeri?

The model expects 2.46 goals (FC Rustavi 1.33 · FC Spaeri 1.13), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rustavi vs FC Spaeri?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.