Prediction: Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
Team pages: Samgurali
- Samgurali3-1Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0Samgurali
- Samgurali5-0Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli1-1Samgurali
- Samgurali2-0Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli0-1Samgurali
| Samgurali | Draw | Meshakhte Tkibuli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samgurali (rating 1531 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Samgurali: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Samgurali | Meshakhte Tkibuli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.9 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samgurali 4–2–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Samgurali | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 08/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Samgurali |
| 19/10/17 Georgia First League | Samgurali | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 11/08/17 Georgia First League | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Samgurali |
| 19/05/17 Georgia First League | Samgurali | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 31/03/17 Georgia First League | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Samgurali |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Samgurali | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
|---|---|---|
| FC Spaeri | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Gagra | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 3-5 L | 1-6 L |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Dila Gori | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Rustavi | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Dinamo Batumi | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Samgurali (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samgurali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Wit Georgia Georgia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | FC Spaeri Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 18/06 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 21/05 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Meshakhte Tkibuli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FC Gonio Georgia Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 18/06 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Samgurali win (51%). Probabilities: Samgurali 51%, draw 25%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 24%.
How many goals are expected in Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Samgurali 1.74 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.