Prediction: Guria Lanchkhuti vs Aragvi Dusheti
Team pages: Guria Lanchkhuti · Aragvi Dusheti
- Aragvi Dusheti4-1Guria Lanchkhuti
- Guria Lanchkhuti0-1Aragvi Dusheti
- Aragvi Dusheti3-1Guria Lanchkhuti
- Guria Lanchkhuti1-3Aragvi Dusheti
- Aragvi Dusheti4-2Guria Lanchkhuti
- Guria Lanchkhuti2-0Aragvi Dusheti
| Guria Lanchkhuti | Draw | Aragvi Dusheti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1593 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Aragvi Dusheti: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guria Lanchkhuti | Aragvi Dusheti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/44/0% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.4 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guria Lanchkhuti 1–0–5 Aragvi Dusheti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/23 Georgia Liga 3 | Aragvi Dusheti | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 24/08/23 Georgia Liga 3 | Guria Lanchkhuti | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| 01/12/22 Georgia Liga 3 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 10/07/22 Georgia Liga 3 | Guria Lanchkhuti | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| 21/10/21 Georgia Liga 3 | Aragvi Dusheti | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 16/05/21 Georgia Liga 3 | Guria Lanchkhuti | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guria Lanchkhuti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Cup |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Cup |
5-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 15/06 | Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
Aragvi Dusheti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | FC Zooveti Tbilisi Georgia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aragvi Dusheti win (49%). Probabilities: Guria Lanchkhuti 24%, draw 26%, Aragvi Dusheti 49%.
How many goals are expected in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Guria Lanchkhuti 1.06 · Aragvi Dusheti 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.