Football · Serbia Super Liga · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: Partizan Belgrade vs IMT Novi Belgrade

Team pages: Partizan Belgrade · IMT Novi Belgrade

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Partizan Belgrade1.72
IMT Novi Belgrade0.73
1X2
61% 24% 15%
Partizan Belgrade Draw IMT Novi Belgrade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Partizan Belgrade 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDWDWW
IMT Novi Belgrade 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDDLWLWW
Head-to-head
Partizan Belgrade 3–2–1 IMT Novi Belgrade (6 last)
  • IMT Novi Belgrade1-0Partizan Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade5-1IMT Novi Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade1-1IMT Novi Belgrade
  • IMT Novi Belgrade0-0Partizan Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade5-2IMT Novi Belgrade
  • IMT Novi Belgrade2-3Partizan Belgrade
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partizan Belgrade 1577 · IMT Novi Belgrade 1535
Partizan BelgradeDrawIMT Novi Belgrade
Our model60%26%14%
Market61%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1577 vs 1535).
  • H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Partizan BelgradeIMT Novi Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 10.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.91.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.63.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan Belgrade 321 IMT Novi Belgrade

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/12/25
Serbia Super Liga
IMT Novi Belgrade1-0
HT 0-0
Partizan Belgrade
18/08/25
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade5-1
HT 3-0
IMT Novi Belgrade
16/12/24
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade1-1
HT 1-0
IMT Novi Belgrade
11/08/24
Serbia Super Liga
IMT Novi Belgrade0-0
HT 0-0
Partizan Belgrade
17/02/24
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade5-2
HT 2-0
IMT Novi Belgrade
03/09/23
Serbia Super Liga
IMT Novi Belgrade2-3
HT 1-0
Partizan Belgrade

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Crvena Zvezda 2200 816
2 IMT Novi Belgrade 2200 506
3 Partizan Belgrade 2110 534
4 FK Novi Pazar 2110 104
5 Vojvodina 2101 533
6 FK Cukaricki 2101 213
6 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1100 213
8 Mladost Lucani 2020 112
9 FK Radnik Surdulica 2020 112
10 FK Zemun 2011 261
11 OFK Beograd 2011 041
12 FK Radnicki 1923 1001 010
13 Radnicki Nis 2002 140
14 FK Macva Sabac 2002 180

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPartizan BelgradeIMT Novi Belgrade
FK Zemun 2-2 D 4-0 W
FK Cukaricki 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partizan Belgrade

DWLWWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 FK Macva Sabac
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 3-1 312 W
23/07 UNA Strassen
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
2-0 4-0 33 W
18/07 FK Zemun
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 2-2 56 D
11/07 NK Nafta 1903
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-1 33 W
10/07 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-2 51 D
06/07 Neftchi Baku
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 78 W
02/07 NK Aluminij
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 10 W
29/06 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 41 L
23/05 FK Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
2-0 5-0 61 W
17/05 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 26 D

IMT Novi Belgrade

DDWDDLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 FK Zemun
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 4-0 113 W
19/07 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-0 48 W
11/07 FK Radnicki 1923
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 31 L
03/07 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 13 W
01/07 Mladost Lucani
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 70 L
26/06 Borac Banja Luka
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 24 D
24/05 FK Backa Topola
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-1 24 D
16/05 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-0 26 W
10/05 FK Radnicki 1923
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 83 D
03/05 Javor Ivanjica
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partizan Belgrade vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizan Belgrade win (61%). Probabilities: Partizan Belgrade 61%, draw 24%, IMT Novi Belgrade 15%.

How many goals are expected in Partizan Belgrade vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Partizan Belgrade 1.72 · IMT Novi Belgrade 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Partizan Belgrade vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.