Football · Serbia Super Liga · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki
Team pages: Mladost Lucani · FK Cukaricki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Mladost Lucani1.24
FK Cukaricki1.01
1X2
Mladost Lucani
Draw
FK Cukaricki
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mladost Lucani
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
FK Cukaricki
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mladost Lucani
2–2–2
FK Cukaricki
(6 last)
- FK Cukaricki3-1Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani1-1FK Cukaricki
- FK Cukaricki0-0Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani3-1FK Cukaricki
- FK Cukaricki4-1Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani1-0FK Cukaricki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mladost Lucani 1553 · FK Cukaricki 1513
| Mladost Lucani | Draw | FK Cukaricki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladost Lucani (rating 1553 vs 1513).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mladost Lucani | FK Cukaricki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladost Lucani 2–2–2 FK Cukaricki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Mladost Lucani |
| 28/09/25 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Cukaricki |
| 01/02/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 23/08/24 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FK Cukaricki |
| 26/04/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Mladost Lucani |
| 08/03/24 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Cukaricki |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | FK Cukaricki | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | OFK Beograd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Partizan Belgrade | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Novi Pazar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vojvodina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Mladost Lucani | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | FK Zemun | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | FK Macva Sabac | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mladost Lucani | FK Cukaricki |
|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Radnicki Nis | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
FK Cukaricki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | NK Celje Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mladost Lucani win (41%). Probabilities: Mladost Lucani 41%, draw 30%, FK Cukaricki 29%.
How many goals are expected in Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Mladost Lucani 1.24 · FK Cukaricki 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.