Prediction: Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar
Team pages: Crvena Zvezda · FK Novi Pazar
- Crvena Zvezda1-2FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar0-2Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda5-0FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar1-5Crvena Zvezda
- FK Novi Pazar3-3Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda2-1FK Novi Pazar
| Crvena Zvezda | Draw | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 85% | 11% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crvena Zvezda (rating 1585 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crvena Zvezda | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crvena Zvezda 4–1–1 FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 05/03/26 Serbia Cup | FK Novi Pazar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 07/02/26 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 5-0 HT 1-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 31/08/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 17/05/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 02/04/25 Serbia Cup | Crvena Zvezda | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FK Novi Pazar |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | FK Cukaricki | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | OFK Beograd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Partizan Belgrade | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Novi Pazar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vojvodina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Mladost Lucani | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | FK Zemun | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | FK Macva Sabac | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crvena Zvezda | FK Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Vojvodina | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| FK Macva Sabac | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| OFK Beograd | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| FK Radnik Surdulica | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Crvena Zvezda (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crvena Zvezda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/06 | SKU Amstetten Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | FK Radnik Surdulica Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Mladost Lucani Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crvena Zvezda win (82%). Probabilities: Crvena Zvezda 82%, draw 13%, FK Novi Pazar 6%.
How many goals are expected in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Crvena Zvezda 2.86 · FK Novi Pazar 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.