Prediction: Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning
Team pages: Lota Schwager · Santiago Morning
- Lota Schwager1-1Santiago Morning
- Santiago Morning1-1Lota Schwager
- Lota Schwager2-1Santiago Morning
- Santiago Morning1-0Lota Schwager
- Santiago Morning2-0Lota Schwager
- Lota Schwager0-1Santiago Morning
| Lota Schwager | Draw | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Santiago Morning: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lota Schwager | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.6 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lota Schwager 1–2–3 Santiago Morning
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Segunda | Lota Schwager | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Santiago Morning |
| 19/04/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago Morning | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lota Schwager |
| 22/03/15 Chile Primera B | Lota Schwager | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Santiago Morning |
| 01/02/15 Chile Primera B | Santiago Morning | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lota Schwager |
| 26/10/14 Chile Primera B | Santiago Morning | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lota Schwager |
| 31/08/14 Chile Primera B | Lota Schwager | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Santiago Morning |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Rengo Unido | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Santiago Morning | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Lota Schwager | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Provincial Ovalle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | AC Colina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lota Schwager | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| CD Rengo Unido | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| General Velásquez | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Provincial Osorno | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Colchagua CD | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Linares | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lota Schwager (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lota Schwager
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 28/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
Santiago Morning
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lota Schwager win (40%). Probabilities: Lota Schwager 40%, draw 29%, Santiago Morning 31%.
How many goals are expected in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Lota Schwager 1.27 · Santiago Morning 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.