Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 22/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha
Team pages: Al Ahli Jeddah · Abha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Al Ahli Jeddah2.46
Abha0.8
1X2
Al Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Abha
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ahli Jeddah
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Abha
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ahli Jeddah
2–2–2
Abha
(6 last)
- Al Ahli Jeddah5-1Abha
- Abha0-6Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah1-2Abha
- Al Ahli Jeddah1-1Abha
- Abha2-0Al Ahli Jeddah
- Abha1-1Al Ahli Jeddah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Ahli Jeddah 1595 · Abha 1492
| Al Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Abha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1595 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahli Jeddah | Abha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahli Jeddah 2–2–2 Abha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Abha |
| 30/11/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 0-6 HT 0-5 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 31/10/23 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Abha |
| 22/05/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Abha |
| 21/11/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 25/05/21 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Abha | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hazem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Draih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Fateh SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ahli Jeddah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/08 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Fulham Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Holstein Kiel World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Pinzgau Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Abha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 13/08 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Caykur Rizespor World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 15/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 09/04 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahli Jeddah win (73%). Probabilities: Al Ahli Jeddah 73%, draw 17%, Abha 10%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Al Ahli Jeddah 2.46 · Abha 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.