Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 28/08, 17:50

Prediction: Al Riyadh vs Neom SC

Team pages: Al Riyadh · Neom SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Al Riyadh1.35

Neom SC1.69

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Al Riyadh Draw Neom SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Riyadh 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWDWLL

Neom SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Al Riyadh 0–2 Neom SC (2 last)

Neom SC1-0Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh2-3Neom SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neom SC (rating 1468 vs 1574).
H2H favours Neom SC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Riyadh	Neom SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.92

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
X	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:53 +3’	3.82	3.79	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Riyadh 0–0–2 Neom SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Neom SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Riyadh
27/09/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Riyadh	2-3 HT 1-2	Neom SC

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Ittihad Jeddah	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
2	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	Al Hilal Riyadh	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
5	Al Ahli Jeddah	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
6	Al Ittifaq Dammam	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
7	Neom SC	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
8	Al Kholood	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Al Draih	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
10	Al Hazm	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
11	Al Khaleej Saihat	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Al Taawon Buraidah	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Al Shabab Riyadh	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Al Faisaly Harmah	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
15	Al Fayha	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
16	Al Fateh SC	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
17	Abha	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
18	Al Riyadh	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Riyadh	Neom SC
Al Ittifaq Dammam	2-4 L	1-1 D
Al Fateh SC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Al Fayha	2-4 L	2-1 W
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	0-4 L	0-2 L
Al Hazm	1-2 L	1-1 D
Al Shabab Riyadh	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Neom SC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Riyadh

DWLLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-4	3	0	L
14/08	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	2-4	0	5	L
21/05	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/05	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/05	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
04/05	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	2-4	6	1	L
29/04	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
24/04	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
09/04	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
05/04	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	2	5	D

Neom SC

WLDDWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	2-0	0	0	W
14/08	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
21/05	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
16/05	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
11/05	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
02/05	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-2	7	2	D
28/04	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
11/04	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-2	22	4	L
08/04	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-2	4-3	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Riyadh vs Neom SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Neom SC win (44%). Probabilities: Al Riyadh 30%, draw 26%, Neom SC 44%.

How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Neom SC?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Al Riyadh 1.35 · Neom SC 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Neom SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.