Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 29/08, 18:05

Prediction: Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah

Team pages: Al Kholood · Al Ahli Jeddah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Al Kholood1.23

Al Ahli Jeddah1.71

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Al Kholood Draw Al Ahli Jeddah

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Kholood 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDDLDDW

Al Ahli Jeddah 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Al Kholood 1–5 Al Ahli Jeddah (6 last)

Al Ahli Jeddah3-0Al Kholood
Al Kholood0-1Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah4-1Al Kholood
Al Kholood1-0Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Kholood1-2Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah1-0Al Kholood

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1487 vs 1614).
H2H favours Al Ahli Jeddah: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Kholood	Al Ahli Jeddah
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	2.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.5	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.07 → 7.07	Pinn 7.07
X	4.96 → 4.96	Pinn 4.96
2	1.34 → 1.34	Pinn 1.34

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:27	7.07	4.96	1.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Kholood 1–0–5 Al Ahli Jeddah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	3-0 HT 3-0	Al Kholood
17/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Kholood	0-1 HT 0-0	Al Ahli Jeddah
17/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	4-1 HT 0-0	Al Kholood
15/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Kholood	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Ahli Jeddah
07/02/23 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Kholood	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
05/09/22 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Ahli Jeddah	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Kholood

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al-Nassr Riyadh	3	3	0	0	10	2	9
2	Al Ittihad Jeddah	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
4	Al Hilal Riyadh	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
5	Al Ahli Jeddah	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
6	Al Ittifaq Dammam	3	2	0	1	7	5	6
7	Neom SC	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
8	Al Kholood	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Al Draih	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	3	0	3	0	1	1	3
11	Al Hazm	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
12	Al Taawon Buraidah	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
13	Al Shabab Riyadh	3	0	2	1	4	6	2
14	Al Fayha	3	0	1	2	1	5	1
15	Abha	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
16	Al Riyadh	3	0	1	2	5	11	1
17	Al Faisaly Harmah	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
18	Al Fateh SC	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Kholood	Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon Buraidah	3-2 W	2-1 W
Al Fateh SC	0-0 D	3-1 W
Al Okhdood	0-0 D	4-0 W
Al Fayha	1-1 D	1-1 D
Al Khaleej Saihat	2-2 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Kholood

DLWDDDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	3-2	3	4	W
15/08	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/05	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
16/05	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	0-3	2	2	L
12/05	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
04/05	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
30/04	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
11/04	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	2-1	0	11	W
08/04	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-4	0-6	8	4	L
03/04	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	2-2	2	5	D

Al Ahli Jeddah

WDLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
13/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
20/05	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
16/05	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	3-0	4	2	W
11/05	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
06/05	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
03/05	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
29/04	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
08/04	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/04	Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (48%). Probabilities: Al Kholood 26%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Jeddah 48%.

How many goals are expected in Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Al Kholood 1.23 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.