Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 25/08, 20:00

Prediction: Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Team pages: Al Ittifaq Dammam · Al-Nassr Riyadh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Al Ittifaq Dammam1.88

Al-Nassr Riyadh1.86

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Al Ittifaq Dammam Draw Al-Nassr Riyadh

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Ittifaq Dammam 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLDWW

Al-Nassr Riyadh 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Al Ittifaq Dammam 1–2–3 Al-Nassr Riyadh (6 last)

Al-Nassr Riyadh1-0Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al Ittifaq Dammam2-2Al-Nassr Riyadh
Al-Nassr Riyadh2-3Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al Ittifaq Dammam0-3Al-Nassr Riyadh
Al-Nassr Riyadh3-1Al Ittifaq Dammam
Al-Nassr Riyadh0-0Al Ittifaq Dammam

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Nassr Riyadh (rating 1514 vs 1567).
H2H favours Al-Nassr Riyadh: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Ittifaq Dammam	Al-Nassr Riyadh
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	2.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	3.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.81

Under 3.51.97

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.48 → 7.48	Pinn 7.48
X	6.36 → 6.36	Pinn 6.36
2	1.26 → 1.26	Pinn 1.26

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:59	7.48	6.36	1.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittifaq Dammam 1–2–3 Al-Nassr Riyadh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-Nassr Riyadh	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam
30/12/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ittifaq Dammam	2-2 HT 1-0	Al-Nassr Riyadh
21/02/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-Nassr Riyadh	2-3 HT 0-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam
20/09/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ittifaq Dammam	0-3 HT 0-1	Al-Nassr Riyadh
22/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-Nassr Riyadh	3-1 HT 1-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam
31/10/23 Saudi Arabia Cup	Al-Nassr Riyadh	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Ittifaq Dammam

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al-Nassr Riyadh	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	Al Hilal Riyadh	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
3	Al Ahli Jeddah	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
4	Al Ittifaq Dammam	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
5	Neom SC	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Al Kholood	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	Al Ittihad Jeddah	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	Al Draih	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
9	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Al Hazem	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Al Khaleej Saihat	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Al Taawon Buraidah	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Al Shabab Riyadh	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Al Faisaly Harmah	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
15	Al Fayha	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
16	Al Fateh SC	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
17	Abha	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
18	Al Riyadh	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Ittifaq Dammam	Al-Nassr Riyadh
Al Fateh SC	1-0 W	3-0 W
Al Riyadh	4-2 W	4-0 W
Al Najma	0-0 D	5-2 W
Al Okhdood	3-1 W	2-0 W
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Nassr Riyadh (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ittifaq Dammam

WLLWDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-0	11	0	W
14/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	4-2	8	5	W
21/05	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	0	1	D
14/05	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
09/05	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	5-0	4	3	W
04/05	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
30/04	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
15/04	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
09/04	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	2-3	6	2	L
05/04	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	3-2	4	12	W

Al-Nassr Riyadh

WWWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	9	0	W
15/08	Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
21/05	Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	4-1	6	6	W
12/05	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
07/05	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	4-2	8	3	W
03/05	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
29/04	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	2-0	8	7	W
15/04	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
11/04	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
03/04	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	5-2	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ittifaq Dammam win (39%). Probabilities: Al Ittifaq Dammam 39%, draw 23%, Al-Nassr Riyadh 38%.

How many goals are expected in Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Al Ittifaq Dammam 1.88 · Al-Nassr Riyadh 1.86), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.