Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Al-Nassr Riyadh2.27
Al Fateh SC1.26
1X2
Al-Nassr Riyadh
Draw
Al Fateh SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Nassr Riyadh
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Al Fateh SC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al-Nassr Riyadh
5–1
Al Fateh SC
(6 last)
- Al Fateh SC0-2Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh5-1Al Fateh SC
- Al Fateh SC3-2Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh3-1Al Fateh SC
- Al-Nassr Riyadh2-1Al Fateh SC
- Al Fateh SC0-5Al-Nassr Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Nassr Riyadh (rating 1539 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Al-Nassr Riyadh: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Nassr Riyadh | Al Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 1.1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Nassr Riyadh 5–0–1 Al Fateh SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 18/10/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Al Fateh SC |
| 26/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 26/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Al Fateh SC |
| 17/02/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Al Fateh SC |
| 25/08/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fateh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fayha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hazm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al-Nassr Riyadh | Al Fateh SC |
|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Al Ahli Jeddah | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Nassr Riyadh (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Nassr Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Almeria World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Estrela World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Gamba Osaka AFC Champions League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 22/04 | Al-Ahli Doha AFC Champions League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Al Wasl SC AFC Champions League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Al Fateh SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Al-Arabi Doha World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Mallorca World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/04 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Nassr Riyadh win (59%). Probabilities: Al-Nassr Riyadh 59%, draw 21%, Al Fateh SC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Al-Nassr Riyadh 2.27 · Al Fateh SC 1.26), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.