Football · Romania Liga 2 · 05/11, 16:00

Prediction: Chindia Targoviste vs Gloria Popesti Leordeni

Team pages: Chindia Targoviste · Gloria Popesti Leordeni

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Chindia Targoviste2.27

Gloria Popesti Leordeni1.32

1X2

57% 22% 20%

Chindia Targoviste Draw Gloria Popesti Leordeni

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Chindia Targoviste 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Gloria Popesti Leordeni 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chindia Targoviste 1574 · Gloria Popesti Leordeni 1560

	Chindia Targoviste	Draw	Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Our model	58%	21%	21%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chindia Targoviste	Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.64 ★
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.95
2	4.75 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +26’	1.57	3.80	4.75
04:00 +2’	1.45▼	4.10▲	5.75▲
05:56 +5’	1.53▲	4.00▼	5.00▼
11:54 +8’	1.57▲	3.90▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +22’	1.57	3.87	4.88
18:02 +3’	1.54▼	4.07▲	4.91▲
19:09 +1’	1.52▼	4.14▲	4.99▲
12:00 +2’	1.59▲	3.95▼	4.55▼
14:01	1.64▲	3.95	4.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 4 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	12	8	4	0	23	10	28
2	Chindia Targoviste	12	9	0	3	30	14	27
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	12	8	3	1	28	16	27
4	CSM Slatina	12	8	1	3	20	12	25
5	Scolar Resita	12	8	0	4	17	13	24
6	Cetate Suceava	12	6	4	2	24	14	22
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	12	7	1	4	28	19	22
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	12	6	3	3	14	9	21
9	FC Bihor Oradea	12	5	4	3	20	12	19
10	FC Bacau	12	5	3	4	23	14	18
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	12	5	3	4	17	16	18
12	Gloria Bistrita	12	6	0	6	15	15	18
13	CS Afumati	12	5	2	5	19	20	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	12	4	2	6	13	19	14
15	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	12	3	2	7	15	15	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	12	3	2	7	14	22	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	12	1	6	5	9	15	9
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	12	2	3	7	8	22	9
20	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
21	CS Stefanesti	12	2	0	10	7	29	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	12	0	4	8	9	25	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chindia Targoviste	Gloria Popesti Leordeni
AFC Metalul Buzau	3-1 W	2-1 W
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	1-2 L	2-1 W
CS Afumati	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chindia Targoviste (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chindia Targoviste

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
25/10	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	6	2	W
20/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	3-2	4-2	4	4	W
10/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
19/09	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/09	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	4-0	2	7	W
04/09	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
29/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-1	3-1	2	7	W
21/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	6	2	W

Gloria Popesti Leordeni

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
24/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
17/10	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
10/10	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	6	7	W
19/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	2-3	3-4	2	8	L
12/09	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	3-2	3-2	3	6	W
05/09	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
29/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-1	4-1	5	8	W
15/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chindia Targoviste vs Gloria Popesti Leordeni?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chindia Targoviste win (57%). Probabilities: Chindia Targoviste 57%, draw 22%, Gloria Popesti Leordeni 20%.

How many goals are expected in Chindia Targoviste vs Gloria Popesti Leordeni?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Chindia Targoviste 2.27 · Gloria Popesti Leordeni 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chindia Targoviste vs Gloria Popesti Leordeni?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.