Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 12:30

Prediction: FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti

Team pages: FC Bacau · Metaloglobus Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

FC Bacau1.77

Metaloglobus Bucuresti1.12

1X2

51% 26% 23%

FC Bacau Draw Metaloglobus Bucuresti

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bacau 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Metaloglobus Bucuresti 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bacau 1526 · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1486

	FC Bacau	Draw	Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Our model	51%	26%	23%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bacau (rating 1526 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bacau	Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +8’	1.75	3.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Bacau	Metaloglobus Bucuresti
CSM Ramnicu Valcea	2-2 D	2-0 W
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	3-0 W	0-0 D
Gloria Popesti Leordeni	2-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bacau (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Bacau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
18/10	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
11/10	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
19/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
15/09	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/09	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	6-1	7	2	W
31/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/08	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	1-2	2-2	3	11	D
16/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
08/08	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-3	6	5	L

Metaloglobus Bucuresti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
17/10	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
10/10	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
19/09	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
12/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-2	2-3	5	4	L
29/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	1	9	L
25/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
15/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bacau win (51%). Probabilities: FC Bacau 51%, draw 26%, Metaloglobus Bucuresti 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?

The model expects 2.89 goals (FC Bacau 1.77 · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1.12), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.