Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 10:00

Prediction: ASA Targu Mures vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Team pages: ASA Targu Mures · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

ASA Targu Mures1.64

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia1.2

1X2

46% 27% 27%

ASA Targu Mures Draw FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ASA Targu Mures 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWLLL

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ASA Targu Mures 0–1 FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia (1 last)

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia4-0ASA Targu Mures

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASA Targu Mures 1458 · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1440

	ASA Targu Mures	Draw	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASA Targu Mures	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	1.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.09 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +17’	1.95	3.30	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +24’	2.09	3.28	3.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Targu Mures 0–0–1 FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/17 Romania Cup	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	4-0 HT 4-0	ASA Targu Mures

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASA Targu Mures	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia
CSC 1599 Selimbar	0-1 L	1-0 W
Chindia Targoviste	2-4 L	0-1 L
AFC Metalul Buzau	0-1 L	0-2 L
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	4-3 W	8-0 W
CS Afumati	2-2 D	1-2 L
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	3-2 W	1-2 L
Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0-3 L	0-1 L
Gloria Bistrita	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASA Targu Mures

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
20/10	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	2-3	2-4	7	4	L
10/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
22/09	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	4-3	8	6	W
12/09	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
30/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
22/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
15/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	10	2	L

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
17/10	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
10/10	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
19/09	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
13/09	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
05/09	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	5-0	8-0	3	4	W
29/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
25/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
15/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
07/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASA Targu Mures vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA Targu Mures win (46%). Probabilities: ASA Targu Mures 46%, draw 27%, FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 27%.

How many goals are expected in ASA Targu Mures vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

The model expects 2.84 goals (ASA Targu Mures 1.64 · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASA Targu Mures vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.