Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 10:00

Prediction: Gloria Popesti Leordeni vs AFC Metalul Buzau

Team pages: Gloria Popesti Leordeni · AFC Metalul Buzau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Gloria Popesti Leordeni1.41

AFC Metalul Buzau1.3

1X2

39% 28% 34%

Gloria Popesti Leordeni Draw AFC Metalul Buzau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gloria Popesti Leordeni 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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AFC Metalul Buzau 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloria Popesti Leordeni 1569 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1542

	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	Draw	AFC Metalul Buzau
Our model	38%	28%	33%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	AFC Metalul Buzau
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.8	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:37 +28’	2.30	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	AFC Metalul Buzau
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	2-1 W	1-0 W
CS Afumati	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloria Popesti Leordeni

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
17/10	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
10/10	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	6	7	W
19/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	2-3	3-4	2	8	L
12/09	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	3-2	3-2	3	6	W
05/09	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
29/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-1	4-1	5	8	W
15/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
08/08	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	1-1	3-2	7	5	W

AFC Metalul Buzau

WWLLDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	10	2	W
17/10	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
10/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
19/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
13/09	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
05/09	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
29/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-3	7	7	L
22/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
15/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
08/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	3-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloria Popesti Leordeni vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloria Popesti Leordeni win (39%). Probabilities: Gloria Popesti Leordeni 39%, draw 28%, AFC Metalul Buzau 34%.

How many goals are expected in Gloria Popesti Leordeni vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Gloria Popesti Leordeni 1.41 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gloria Popesti Leordeni vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.