Football · Romania Liga 2 · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: CS Afumati vs FC Bacau

Team pages: CS Afumati · FC Bacau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

CS Afumati1.49

FC Bacau1.41

1X2

38% 27% 35%

CS Afumati Draw FC Bacau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Afumati 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWWLLL

FC Bacau 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDLWLL

Head-to-head

CS Afumati 1–1 FC Bacau (2 last)

FC Bacau3-1CS Afumati
CS Afumati3-2FC Bacau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Afumati 1474 · FC Bacau 1503

	CS Afumati	Draw	FC Bacau
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Afumati	FC Bacau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.9	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	5.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.30

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +17’	2.35	3.30	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +34’	2.22	3.27	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Afumati 1–0–1 FC Bacau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Romania Liga 2	FC Bacau	3-1 HT 2-0	CS Afumati
02/08/25 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Bacau

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	34	15	30
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	12	8	4	0	23	10	28
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	13	8	3	2	29	20	27
4	CSM Slatina	12	8	1	3	20	12	25
5	Scolar Resita	12	8	0	4	17	13	24
6	Cetate Suceava	12	6	4	2	24	14	22
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	12	7	1	4	28	19	22
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	12	6	3	3	14	9	21
9	FC Bihor Oradea	12	5	4	3	20	12	19
10	FC Bacau	12	5	3	4	23	14	18
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	12	5	3	4	17	16	18
12	Gloria Bistrita	12	6	0	6	15	15	18
13	CS Afumati	12	5	2	5	19	20	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	12	4	2	6	13	19	14
15	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	12	3	2	7	15	15	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	12	3	2	7	14	22	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	12	1	6	5	9	15	9
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	12	2	3	7	8	22	9
20	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
21	CS Stefanesti	12	2	0	10	7	29	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	12	0	4	8	9	25	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Afumati	FC Bacau
CSM Ramnicu Valcea	2-3 L	2-2 D
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bacau (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Afumati

LDWWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-3	9	7	L
25/10	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
17/10	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
11/10	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
19/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	10	6	W
29/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	7	2	L

FC Bacau

WDDWWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-4	7	4	L
24/10	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
18/10	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
11/10	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
19/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
15/09	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/09	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	6-1	7	2	W
31/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/08	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	1-2	2-2	3	11	D
16/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Afumati vs FC Bacau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Afumati win (38%). Probabilities: CS Afumati 38%, draw 27%, FC Bacau 35%.

How many goals are expected in CS Afumati vs FC Bacau?

The model expects 2.9 goals (CS Afumati 1.49 · FC Bacau 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Afumati vs FC Bacau?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.