Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 25/07, 20:30
Prediction: Union Espanola (W) vs Colo Colo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Union Espanola (W)0.66
Colo Colo (W)2.66
1X2
Union Espanola (W)
Draw
Colo Colo (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Colo Colo (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola (W)
0–6
Colo Colo (W)
(6 last)
- Colo Colo (W)3-0Union Espanola (W)
- Union Espanola (W)0-2Colo Colo (W)
- Colo Colo (W)4-0Union Espanola (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola (W) 1498 · Colo Colo (W) 1662
| Union Espanola (W) | Draw | Colo Colo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (W) (rating 1498 vs 1662).
- H2H favours Colo Colo (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola (W) | Colo Colo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 4.9 / 8.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola (W) 0–0–6 Colo Colo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 30/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 04/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 29/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 21/04/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 11/12/16 Copa Libertadores Women | Colo Colo (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 2 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 12 | 41 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Palestino (W) | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 15 |
| 10 | Magallanes (W) | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 14 |
| 11 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 16 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 16 | 58 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola (W) | Colo Colo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Huachipato (W) | 1-1 D | 7-0 W |
| Palestino (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Colo Colo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola (W) vs Colo Colo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Union Espanola (W) 5%, draw 11%, Colo Colo (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola (W) vs Colo Colo (W)?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Union Espanola (W) 0.66 · Colo Colo (W) 2.66), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola (W) vs Colo Colo (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.