Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 02/08, 17:00

Prediction: Deportes Iquique (W) vs Magallanes (W)

Team pages: Deportes Iquique (W) · Magallanes (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Deportes Iquique (W)1.88

Magallanes (W)0.87

1X2

60% 24% 16%

Deportes Iquique (W) Draw Magallanes (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Iquique (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Magallanes (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Deportes Iquique (W) 0–1 Magallanes (W) (1 last)

Magallanes (W)2-1Deportes Iquique (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique (W) 1471 · Magallanes (W) 1481

	Deportes Iquique (W)	Draw	Magallanes (W)
Our model	60%	24%	16%
Market	60%	23%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Iquique (W)	Magallanes (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.80

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +69’	1.48	3.80	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique (W) 0–0–1 Magallanes (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Magallanes (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Deportes Iquique (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	17	16	1	0	67	2	49
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	18	15	0	3	41	10	45
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	17	13	2	2	54	18	41
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	18	10	4	4	32	15	34
5	Union Espanola (W)	17	7	4	6	17	19	25
6	Huachipato (W)	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
7	Palestino (W)	16	5	4	7	22	28	19
8	Magallanes (W)	17	5	2	10	16	35	17
9	Deportes Iquique (W)	15	5	2	8	17	22	17
10	Santiago Wanderers (W)	17	4	4	9	12	24	16
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	17	4	3	10	12	30	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	18	2	1	15	15	51	7
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	16	2	0	14	16	58	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Iquique (W)	Magallanes (W)
Union Espanola (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	4-0 W	3-2 W
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Universidad Catolica (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
Huachipato (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Iquique (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
04/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
27/06	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
22/06	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
14/06	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
30/05	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
17/05	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
13/05	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
09/05	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
03/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	1-3	3	7	L

Magallanes (W)

LWLWLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
12/07	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	3-1	3	6	W
08/07	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	1-5	3	1	L
03/07	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
13/06	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
30/05	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
24/05	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	0-3	–	–	L
18/05	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	3-2	7	3	W
14/05	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-3	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Magallanes (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique (W) 60%, draw 24%, Magallanes (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Magallanes (W)?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Deportes Iquique (W) 1.88 · Magallanes (W) 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Magallanes (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.