Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 01/08, 22:00

Prediction: Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)

Team pages: Colo Colo (W) · Universidad de Concepcion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Colo Colo (W)3.18

Universidad de Concepcion (W)1.18

1X2

87% 8% 6%

Colo Colo (W) Draw Universidad de Concepcion (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Colo Colo (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWW

Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Colo Colo (W) 6–0 Universidad de Concepcion (W) (6 last)

Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-7Colo Colo (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-3Colo Colo (W)
Colo Colo (W)10-0Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-7Colo Colo (W)
Colo Colo (W)5-0Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-4Colo Colo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colo Colo (W) 1640 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1414

	Colo Colo (W)	Draw	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	95%	3%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 4.37 goals · Bet365 line 5.75 · -1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (W) (rating 1640 vs 1414).
H2H favours Colo Colo (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colo Colo (W)	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.9 / 9.3	1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.01

X34.00

251.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.25)1.98

2 (+5.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 5.751.85

Under 5.751.95

Diff.: 2.65 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.00▼	Bet365 1.00
X	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00
2	51.00 → 51.00	Bet365 51.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 4.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +1’	1.01	34.00	51.00
17:38 +2’	1.00▼	34.00	51.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo (W) 6–0–0 Universidad de Concepcion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-7 HT 0-4	Colo Colo (W)
08/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-3	Colo Colo (W)
10/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Colo Colo (W)	10-0 HT 5-0	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
29/06/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-7 HT 0-3	Colo Colo (W)
16/03/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Colo Colo (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
03/06/23 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Colo Colo (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	17	16	1	0	67	2	49
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	18	15	0	3	41	10	45
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	17	13	2	2	54	18	41
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	17	9	4	4	28	15	31
5	Union Espanola (W)	16	7	4	5	17	15	25
6	Huachipato (W)	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
7	Palestino (W)	16	5	4	7	22	28	19
8	Magallanes (W)	17	5	2	10	16	35	17
9	Deportes Iquique (W)	15	5	2	8	17	22	17
10	Santiago Wanderers (W)	17	4	4	9	12	24	16
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	17	4	3	10	12	30	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	18	2	1	15	15	51	7
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	16	2	0	14	16	58	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colo Colo (W)	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Union Espanola (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Palestino (W)	4-0 W	1-1 D
Universidad Catolica (W)	2-1 W	0-4 L
Universidad de Chile (W)	4-0 W	0-2 L
Deportes Iquique (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colo Colo (W)

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/07	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	4-0	10	0	W
08/07	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	3-0	11	2	W
04/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-1	2-1	10	4	W
26/06	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	4-0	7-0	7	1	W
21/06	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	4-0	9	5	W
14/06	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
31/05	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	5-1	8	1	W
24/05	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
18/05	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	4-0	7-0	12	0	W

Universidad de Concepcion (W)

LDDLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
12/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	1-3	7	6	L
08/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/07	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
27/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
22/06	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
13/06	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
31/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
23/05	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
18/05	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-4	0-7	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo (W) win (87%). Probabilities: Colo Colo (W) 87%, draw 8%, Universidad de Concepcion (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Colo Colo (W) 3.18 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1.18), with a 62% chance of under 5.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.