Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 02/08, 18:00

Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)

Team pages: Palestino (W) · Universidad de Chile (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

Palestino (W)1.29

Universidad de Chile (W)2.79

1X2

15% 18% 68%

Palestino (W) Draw Universidad de Chile (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLLLLL

Universidad de Chile (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Palestino (W) 0–1–5 Universidad de Chile (W) (6 last)

Universidad de Chile (W)3-1Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)0-3Universidad de Chile (W)
Universidad de Chile (W)4-1Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)0-5Universidad de Chile (W)
Universidad de Chile (W)4-0Palestino (W)
Universidad de Chile (W)0-0Palestino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino (W) 1430 · Universidad de Chile (W) 1583

	Palestino (W)	Draw	Universidad de Chile (W)
Our model	15%	17%	68%
Market	14%	18%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1430 vs 1583).
H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino (W)	Universidad de Chile (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	3.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	4.9 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.93

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +5’	6.25	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 0–1–5 Universidad de Chile (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Chile (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Palestino (W)
07/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Universidad de Chile (W)
19/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Chile (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Palestino (W)
13/09/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	0-5	Universidad de Chile (W)
16/06/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Chile (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Palestino (W)
30/08/23 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Chile (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Palestino (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	17	16	1	0	67	2	49
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	18	15	0	3	41	10	45
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	17	13	2	2	54	18	41
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	17	9	4	4	28	15	31
5	Union Espanola (W)	16	7	4	5	17	15	25
6	Huachipato (W)	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
7	Palestino (W)	16	5	4	7	22	28	19
8	Magallanes (W)	17	5	2	10	16	35	17
9	Deportes Iquique (W)	15	5	2	8	17	22	17
10	Santiago Wanderers (W)	17	4	4	9	12	24	16
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	17	4	3	10	12	30	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	18	2	1	15	15	51	7
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	16	2	0	14	16	58	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino (W)	Universidad de Chile (W)
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	0-4 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	1-2 L	4-1 W
Deportes Temuco (W)	2-3 L	6-1 W
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino (W)

LWWDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L
08/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
03/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
20/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-3	0	7	L
31/05	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
24/05	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
17/05	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
13/05	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-4	0	0	L

Universidad de Chile (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	4-6	12	3	L
11/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-1	6-1	9	1	W
08/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	5-1	8	1	W
03/07	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
27/06	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	6-1	7	0	W
21/06	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
13/06	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
23/05	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-1	11	3	W
16/05	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
14/05	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	3-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 15%, draw 18%, Universidad de Chile (W) 68%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Palestino (W) 1.29 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.79), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.