Football · Czechia Cup · 25/07, 17:00
Prediction: SK Stonava vs Polanka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
SK Stonava1.19
Polanka1.98
1X2
SK Stonava
Draw
Polanka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Stonava
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Polanka
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Stonava 1549 · Polanka 1456
| SK Stonava | Draw | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Stonava (rating 1549 vs 1456).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Stonava | Polanka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Stonava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Opava B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-4 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Polanka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Stonava vs Polanka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Polanka win (55%). Probabilities: SK Stonava 22%, draw 23%, Polanka 55%.
How many goals are expected in SK Stonava vs Polanka?
The model expects 3.17 goals (SK Stonava 1.19 · Polanka 1.98), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Stonava vs Polanka?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.