Football · Czechia Cup · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: SK Steti vs Varnsdorf
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
SK Steti1.24
Varnsdorf2.25
1X2
SK Steti
Draw
Varnsdorf
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
SK Steti
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Varnsdorf
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Steti 1496 · Varnsdorf 1526
| SK Steti | Draw | Varnsdorf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 20% | 20% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Steti | Varnsdorf | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.3 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Steti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Slovan Velvary Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | TJ Spoje Praha Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Varnsdorf
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Steti vs Varnsdorf?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Varnsdorf win (60%). Probabilities: SK Steti 20%, draw 21%, Varnsdorf 60%.
How many goals are expected in SK Steti vs Varnsdorf?
The model expects 3.49 goals (SK Steti 1.24 · Varnsdorf 2.25), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Steti vs Varnsdorf?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.