Football · Czechia Cup · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: SK Sparta Kolin vs FK Horni Redice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
SK Sparta Kolin1.35
FK Horni Redice1.67
1X2
SK Sparta Kolin
Draw
FK Horni Redice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sparta Kolin
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
FK Horni Redice
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sparta Kolin 1391 · FK Horni Redice 1549
| SK Sparta Kolin | Draw | FK Horni Redice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 33% | 20% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Horni Redice (rating 1391 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sparta Kolin | FK Horni Redice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2.6 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sparta Kolin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Povltavska FA Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga |
0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
FK Horni Redice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Turnov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sparta Kolin vs FK Horni Redice?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Horni Redice win (46%). Probabilities: SK Sparta Kolin 32%, draw 23%, FK Horni Redice 46%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sparta Kolin vs FK Horni Redice?
The model expects 3.02 goals (SK Sparta Kolin 1.35 · FK Horni Redice 1.67), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sparta Kolin vs FK Horni Redice?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.