Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs EBK (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)1.13
EBK (W)2.54
1X2
14% 18% 67%
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Draw EBK (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLLWDD
EBK (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWDLDW
Head-to-head
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 3–1 EBK (W) (4 last)
  • EBK (W)3-1PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
  • PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)4-2EBK (W)
  • PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)2-0EBK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1492 · EBK (W) 1533
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)DrawEBK (W)
Our model14%19%67%
Market14%18%68%
Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (W) (rating 1492 vs 1533).
  • H2H favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (W): 3-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)EBK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.22.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.62.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.12.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 301 EBK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
EBK (W)3-1
HT 2-1
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
12/07/25
Finland Ykkonen Women
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)4-2
HT 2-2
EBK (W)
25/09/21
Finland Ykkonen Women
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)2-0
HT 1-0
EBK (W)
29/06/21
Finland Ykkonen Women
EBK (W)1-4
HT 0-2
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPK Keski-Uusimaa (W)EBK (W)
TPS (W) 2-2 D 0-2 L
HJK II (W) 3-3 D 4-0 W
ONS (W) 0-3 L 2-0 W
HJS (W) 2-1 W 1-1 D
JyPK (W) 3-2 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

LWLWWLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 2-2 42 D
09/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-3 32 D
04/07 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-2 33 W
30/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 85 L
27/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 20 L
14/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 2-1 11 W
23/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 61 W
17/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 1-3 30 L
09/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-1 71 W
18/04 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-4 90 L

EBK (W)

WLWWWWDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 140 W
11/07 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 83 D
08/07 HPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-2 0-4 22 L
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
01/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 4-1 73 W
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
16/06 EPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 4-1 70 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs EBK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EBK (W) win (67%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 14%, draw 18%, EBK (W) 67%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model expects 3.67 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.13 · EBK (W) 2.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.